2009年3月14日 星期六

[新聞]動態管理定期定額 贏面大 ﹝1﹞善用停利停損機制 ﹝2﹞低點加碼具成長性的市場

2009/03/13 09:00 時報資訊
工商時報 陳欣文/台北報導

今年全球股市陷入動盪不安,但是卻也提供最佳的投資機會。基金 業者表示,今年定期定額投資更要採取「動態管理」,其中善用停利 停損機制,及針對有成長性的市場採取低點加碼累積單位數,是最有 效的兩招數。

兆豐國際投信總經理孫蘭英表示,全球股市未來會一季比一季好, 在此基調下,近期開始建議把錢放在貨幣型基金客戶,將部分資金轉 到股票型基金,但是同時也建議要採取「智慧型」的定期定額方式。

例如,每月轉進股票型基金之後,一旦報酬率達10%則進行贖回, 跌10%時則加碼,現在開始採不停扣以及落實停損停利的方式,孫蘭 英認為可以把風險降至最低。

摩根富林明投信副總經理邱亮士指出,雖然目前全球市場仍處於歷 史低檔,讓投資人缺乏定期定額的勇氣,但實際上,低點才是最好的 買點、而不是停扣或出場的賣點。

邱亮士說,若低點時採取「人棄我取」的逆向思考,善用低點的黃 金扣款期加倍扣款,則獲利機會及幅度都更高。以印度為例,試算在 2000年網路泡沫前高點定期定額印度,在半年後股市大跌3成加倍扣 款,1年後定期定額即轉虧為盈,而同期大盤指數卻從高點重跌34% ,表現殊異,可見定期定額威力。(以MSCI印度指數為例,2000/2月 底扣款,至2000/8年加倍扣款,計算至2001/2月底之一年報酬率) 不過,定期定額還是要優先選擇有「錢景」的市場,尤以高波動、 高成長的新興市場為佳。此外,定期定額有時也應活用停利機制,避 免日後感嘆紙上富貴一場,邱亮士建議檢視的頻率可以增加,例如由 過去1年1次改為半年1次,至於停利停損幅度建議縮小,以抓住區間 整理的行情。

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